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Drop in orders?

6/11/17       
johnsmith Member

Hello. New here. Don't know if this's the right thread so let admin moves it to the right one if it doesn't belong here.
I'm CAD drafter in small drafting company and recently we see sharp decreases of orders. It's not about our quality because I spoke w/ other colleagues from different companies. The same situation there.
Do you think there's a global trend of some slump? Or other reasons for this? Even our regular customers find it hard to get orders. Any suggestions?

6/11/17       #2: Drop in orders? ...
rich c.

I guess I would have posted the question in the CAD Forum.

6/12/17       #3: Drop in orders? ...
Paul Miller

Website: http://MCCWOODWORKING.COM

I don't know that we have had a drop in orders. We do have a lull in work for the shop right now, but that is not unusual in the summer for our area. The number of jobs we are bidding is actually higher, but I do not know if that is reflective of the overall economy. A larger cabinet shop has exited this local market and that may be part of it.

I did read that the average rate of growth in the economy over the last ten years is 1.3% per year, which is exactly what it was during the Great Depression in the 1930's.

Our shop has not gotten back to the level it was at in 2007-2008. There is more construction in our area now than in the recent past, but a lot of this construction is for apartment rentals which we really have trouble being competitive.

6/14/17       #4: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

My theory is that commercial has been going very strong for the last 10 years because interest rates have been low. IOW it is due for a slow down.

Multi tenant is slowing down as the younger people are turning into home owners (finally).

As millennials form families home sales will boom.


View higher quality, full size image (911 X 662)


View higher quality, full size image (910 X 661)

6/14/17       #5: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

I miss posted that first chart it just shows low inflation.

6/14/17       #6: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

This one shows rent tapering off

6/14/17       #7: Drop in orders? ...
cabmaker

Our website traffic is down significantly.

6/16/17       #8: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

I don't if this will make sense, but it gives context to the current economy.

Logan speaking about the current economy

6/16/17       #9: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

This also

This also

6/20/17       #10: Drop in orders? ...
david wishengrad

This must play a role, but how much and how directly?

https://explorables.cmucreatelab.org/explorables/annual-refugees/examples/webgl-timemachine/

6/21/17       #11: Drop in orders? ...
Larry

The last few years in my area have seen a massive amount of new construction in both housing and commercial. A rate that can't be sustained. Boom/bust all over again. Cheap $ I suspect and the feeling that $ will cost more soon.

6/21/17       #12: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

I thought that too.

Cheap money is a long term thing that is not likely to change anytime soon.


View higher quality, full size image (908 X 662)

6/21/17       #13: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

Good overview

https://www.facebook.com/Logan.Mohtashami/videos/10154876412333250/lik
e

6/22/17       #14: Drop in orders? ...
Pat Gilbert

That link doesn't work.

This one works


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